Dividend Increase | Deere & Company $DE #Dividend

Getting a pay raise while sitting on the couch?  Sign me up!  Thanks Deere & Company for the dividend increase!

There's an old Chinese proverb that says "the best time to plant a tree was 20 years ago, the next best time is now".  The reason for this is that it takes time for a tree to grow and prosper and for you to start reaping its benefits.  Dividend growth investing is much the same way.  It takes consistent saving and investing as well as time and patience to let the power of dividend growth take hold.

That's why one of my favorite things is when one of the companies I own decides to pay out more in dividends.  You mean I get a pay raise just for owning a small piece of a company?  Not going and doing R&D for new products or technology.  Not selling any products.  Not managing any employees or inventory.  Not making sales calls.  All I had to do was have the foresight to invest some of my savings in excellent companies.  

On February 21st the Board of Directors at Deere & Company (DE) announced an increase to their quarterly dividend payment.  The dividend was increased from $1.20 to $1.25 which is a modest 4.2% increase.  Shares currently yield 1.18% based on the new annualized payout.

The new dividend rate will be payable May 8th to shareholders of record as of March 31st.

While this raise was quite mediocre at just 4.2% this was actually the 3rd raise they have announced over the last year.  Compared to the same payout in 2022 this dividend is 19.0% higher.

Since I own 60.257 shares of Deere in my FI Portfolio, this raise increased my forward 12-month dividends by $12.05.  This is the 7th raise I've received from Deere since initiating a position in 2014.  Total organic dividend growth over that time comes to 108%.  

A full screen version of this chart can be found here.

Deere's dividend growth hasn't exactly been like clockwork with two multi-year periods of no raises.  However, coming out of those times dividend growth has been extremely solid.  Deere's streak of rising dividends is now up to 6 years although they've paid the same or higher dividend each year since at least 1992.

Since 1992, Deere's year over year dividend growth has ranged from 0.0% to 300.0% with an average of 19.2% and a median of 9.8%.

There's been 27 rolling 5-year periods over that time with annualized dividend growth spanning from 0.0% to 37.5% with an average of 10.5% and a median of 10.2%.

Over that time there's also been 22 rolling 10-year periods with Deere's annualized dividend growth landing between 2.8% to 18.1% with an average of 10.5% and a median of 9.7%.

The 1-, 3-, 5-, and 10-year rolling dividend growth rates for Deere since 1992 can be found in the following chart.  

A full screen version of this chart can be found here.

For dividend yield theory I consider the fair value range to be the forward dividend yield +/- 10% compared to the 3-year moving average, the under/over value area to be to between 10%-20% deviation from the average and significant over/under value are greater than a 20% deviation from the average.

A full screen version of this chart can be found here.

Deere's 3-year average forward dividend yield is 1.29% which corresponds to a share price of $388 based on the new annualized payout.  

I consider the fair value range based on dividend yield theory to be the 3-year moving average yield +/- 10%.  That gives a fair value range of $352 - $430 and suggests that shares are currently trading on the upper end of fair value.

  

  




Wrap Up

This raise increased my forward dividends by $12.05 with zero effort on my part.  That's right, absolutely nothing to contribute to their operations.  Based on my FI Portfolio's current yield of 2.68% this raise is like I invested an extra $500 in capital.  Except that I didn't!  One of the companies I own just decided to send more cash my way. 

That's how you can eventually reach the crossover point where your dividends received exceed your expenses.  That's DIVIDEND GROWTH INVESTING AT WORK!  The beauty of the dividend growth investing strategy is that you build up your dividends through fresh capital investment as well dividend increases from the companies you own.

This is the 19th dividend increase I've received from the companies in my FI Portfolio which have boosted my forward 12-month dividends by $208.42 combined.

My FI Portfolio's forward-12 month dividends are $11,465.46  Including my FolioFirst portfolio's forward dividends of $239.18 brings my total taxable accounts dividends to $11,704.64  My Roth IRA's forward 12-month dividends are $1,103.46.  My Rollover IRA's forward dividends are $4,630.84.  Across all accounts I can expect to receive $17,438.94 in dividends over the next year.

I've also started compiling dividend data on many of the companies that I own or would like to own.  Deere's can be found here which includes the dividend history (as far back as I can find without spending hours hunting it down), rolling dividend growth rates and dividend yield theory.  To see other companies that I've already gathered the data on you can check out the Dividend Companies page.  Check it out and let me know what you think.

Do you own shares of Deere?  Do you give companies leeway with inconsistent dividend growth track records as long as the raises still come despite a pause?

Please share your thoughts below.