Dividend Increase | Archer Daniels Midland $ADM #Dividend

Getting a pay raise while sitting on the couch?  Sign me up!  Thanks Archer Daniels Midland for another dividend increase!

There's an old Chinese proverb that says "the best time to plant a tree was 20 years ago, the next best time is now".  The reason for this is that it takes time for a tree to grow and prosper and for you to start reaping its benefits.  Dividend growth investing is much the same way.  It takes consistent saving and investing as well as time and patience to let the power of dividend growth take hold.

That's why one of my favorite things is when one of the companies I own decides to pay out more in dividends.  You mean I get a pay raise just for owning a small piece of a company?  Not going and doing R&D for new products or technology.  Not selling any products.  Not managing any employees or inventory.  Not making sales calls.  All I had to do was have the foresight to invest some of my savings in excellent companies.  

On January 25th the Board of Directors at Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) announced an increase to their quarterly dividend payment.  The dividend was increased from $0.45 to $0.50 which is an excellent 11.1% increase.  Shares currently yield 3.78% based on the new annualized payout.

The new dividend rate will be payable February 29th to shareholders of record as of February 8th.

Since I own 76.949 shares of ADM in my FI Portfolio, this raise increased my forward 12-month dividends by $15.39.  This is the 6th raise I've received from ADM since initiating a position in 2019 with the total organic dividend growth over that time coming to 49%.  

I also own 115.756 shares of Archer Daniels Midland in my Rollover IRA and this raise boosted my forward 12-month dividends for that portfolio by $23.15.

A full screen version of this chart can be found here.

Archer Daniels Midland is a Dividend Champion with 30 consecutive years of dividend growth.  

Since 1995, ADM's year over year dividend growth has ranged from 2.8% to 66.8% with an average of 11.8% and a median of 8.1%.

There's been 25 rolling 5-year periods over that time with annualized dividend growth spanning from 4.3% to 16.7% with an average of 10.3% and a median of 11.4%.

Over that time there's also been 20 rolling 10-year periods with Archer Daniels Midland's annualized dividend growth landing between 7.6% to 14.1% with an average of 11.0% and median of 11.4%. 

The 1-, 3-, 5- and 10-year rolling dividend growth rates for Archer Daniels Midland since 1995 can be found in the following chart.  

A full screen version of this chart can be found here.

For dividend yield theory I consider the fair value range to be the forward dividend yield +/- 10% compared to the 5-year moving average, the under/over value area to be to between 10%-20% deviation from the average and significant over/under value are greater than a 20% deviation from the average.

A full screen version of this chart can be found here.

Archer Daniels Midland's 5-year average forward dividend yield is 2.68% which corresponds to a share price of $75 based on the new annualized payout.  

I consider the fair value range based on dividend yield theory to be the 5-year moving average yield +/- 10%.  That gives a fair value range of $68 - $83 and suggests that shares are currently trading well below fair value.

  

  

Wrap Up

This raise increased my forward dividends by $15.39 with zero effort on my part.  That's right, absolutely nothing to contribute to their operations.  Based on my FI Portfolio's current yield of 2.64% this raise is like I invested an extra $582 in capital.  Except that I didn't!  One of the companies I own just decided to send more cash my way. 

That's how you can eventually reach the crossover point where your dividends received exceed your expenses.  That's DIVIDEND GROWTH INVESTING AT WORK!  The beauty of the dividend growth investing strategy is that you build up your dividends through fresh capital investment as well dividend increases from the companies you own.

This is the 5th dividend increase I've received from the companies in my FI Portfolio.  Combined those raises have increased my forward 12-month dividends by $49.00.

My FI Portfolio's forward-12 month dividends are $12,190.32  Including my FolioFirst portfolio's forward dividends of $248.22 brings my total taxable accounts dividends to $12,438.34.  My Roth IRA's forward 12-month dividends are $1,246.88.  My Rollover IRA's forward dividends are $5,100.80.  Across all accounts I can expect to receive $18,786.02 in dividends over the next year.

I've also started compiling dividend data on many of the companies that I own or would like to own.  Archer Daniels Midland's can be found here which includes the dividend history (as far back as I can find without spending hours hunting it down), rolling dividend growth rates and dividend yield theory.  To see other companies that I've already gathered the data on you can check out the Dividend Companies page.  Check it out and let me know what you think.

Despite ADM's solid dividend growth, it seems like dividend raises have been awfully light this year?  Have you noticed the same trend through the first month of 2024?

Please share your thoughts below.