Dividend Increase | Phillips 66 $PSX #Dividend

Dividend | Dividend Growth | Financial Independence | Freedom | Passive Income
Getting a pay raise while sitting on the couch?  Sign me up!  Thanks Phillips 66 for another dividend increase!

There's an old Chinese proverb that says "the best time to plant a tree was 20 years ago, the next best time is now".  The reason for this is that it takes time for a tree to grow and prosper and for you to start reaping its benefits.  Dividend growth investing is much the same way.  It takes consistent saving and investing as well as time and patience to let the power of dividend growth take hold.

That's why one of my favorite things is when one of the companies I own decides to pay out more in dividends.  You mean I get a pay raise just for owning a small piece of a company?  Not going and doing R&D for new products or technology.  Not selling any products.  Not managing any employees or inventory.  Not making sales calls.  All I had to do was have the foresight to invest some of my savings in excellent companies.  

On May 11th the Board of Directors at Phillips 66 (PSX) approved an increase in the quarterly dividend payment.  The dividend was increased from $0.92 to $0.97 which is a solid 5.4 increase.  Phillips 66 is a Dividend Contender with 11 consecutive years of dividend growth.  Shares currently yield 4.25% based on the new annualized payout.

This increase also pushed the yield on cost for my PSX investment up to 11.75%!

The new dividend will be payable June 1st to shareholders of record as of May 23rd.

Since I own 8.457 shares of Phillips 66 in my FI Portfolio, this raise increased my forward 12-month dividends by $1.69.  This is the 11th I've received from Phillips 66 since initiating a position in 2011 with total organic dividend growth coming in at 385%.

A full screen version of this chart can be found here.

Prior to COVID/2020, Phillips 66 had pretty fantastic dividend growth.  However, the big demand shock in 2020 slowed dividend growth considerably.

Dating back to 2012 PSX has given year over year dividend growth ranging from 0.6% to 195.0% with an average of 31.2% and a median of 12.6%.

There's been 6 rolling 5-year periods during PSX's streak with annualized dividend growth ranging from 7.0% to 43.4% with an average of 16.8% and a median of 11.8%.

The 1-, 3-, 5-, and 10-year rolling dividend growth rates for Phillips 66 since 2012 can be found in the following chart.  

A full screen version of this chart can be found here.

For dividend yield theory I consider the fair value range to be the forward dividend yield +/- 10% compared to the 3-year moving average, the under/over value area to be to between 10%-20% deviation from the average and significant over/under value are greater than a 20% deviation from the average.

A full screen version of this chart can be found here.

Phillips 66's 3-year average forward dividend yield is 4.70% which corresponds to a share price of $83 based on the new annualized payout.  

I consider the fair value range based on dividend yield theory to be the 3-year moving average yield +/- 10%.  That gives a fair value range of $75 - $92 and suggests that shares are trading on the upper end of the fair value range.

Wrap Up

This raise increased my forward dividends by $1.69 with zero effort on my part.  That's right, absolutely nothing to contribute to their operations.  Based on my FI Portfolio's current yield of 2.51% this raise is like I invested an extra $67 in capital.  Except that I didn't!  One of the companies I own just decided to send more cash my way. 

That's how you can eventually reach the crossover point where your dividends received exceed your expenses.  That's DIVIDEND GROWTH INVESTING AT WORK!  The beauty of the dividend growth investing strategy is that you build up your dividends through fresh capital investment as well dividend increases from the companies you own.

This is the 25th dividend increase I've received from the companies in my FI Portfolio increasing by forward 12-month dividends by $218.99 combined.

My FI Portfolio's forward-12 month dividends are $10,102.43  Including my FolioFirst portfolio's forward dividends of $184.76 brings my total taxable accounts dividends to $10,287.19.  My Roth IRA's forward 12-month dividends are $994.03.  My Rollover IRA's forward dividends are $4,342.03.  Across all accounts I can expect to receive $15,623.25 in dividends over the next year.

I've also started compiling dividend data on many of the companies that I own or would like to own.  Phillips 66's can be found here which includes the dividend history (as far back as I can find without spending hours hunting it down), rolling dividend growth rates and dividend yield theory.  To see other companies that I've already gathered the data on you can check out the Dividend Companies page.  Check it out and let me know what you think.

Do you own shares of Phillips 66?  What about other O&G related businesses?

Please share your thoughts below.